It’s All About Freedom

George Lakoff makes a good point here —

Health means life. If you get a major illness or injury and cannot get it treated adequately, you could die. And tens of thousands do.

Health means freedom. If you have a serious illness or injury and cannot get it treated, your freedom will be limited in many ways. Your physical freedom: you may no longer have the freedom to move around. Your economic freedom: you may not be able to work or your medical bills may impoverish you. Your emotional freedom: you will not be free to live a happy life.

Too many of us have, to one extent or another, bought into the libertarian fallacy that only government interferes with “freedom.” Probably nothing (next to being dead) reduces personal freedom more than an impaired brain or body. After that comes poverty, which reduces your choices and dictates you spend your time doing whatever you have to do to survive.

The most egregious example of non-freedom in American history, the institution of slavery, was not conducted by government. It was protected by government, but only because slave-owning citizens demanded that their “property rights” be protected.

White House Health Care Plan

The White House plan is online. I haven’t had time to read it myself, but there’s a quick summary at Talking Points Memo.

Among the highlights, which Brian goes over in more detail here:

  • A delayed start to a new tax on high-end insurance plans. It would go into effect in 2018, not the 2013 as initially proposed.
  • Ends the Nebraska deal giving a federal government subsidy for Medicaid.
  • It has no public option but creates an exchange system.
  • Was crafted to be in line with using reconciliation as a tactic for final passage.
  • As we reported earlier, the measure proposes giving the government new power to block insurance rate hikes.

Marc Ambinder provides another bulleted list. These are just some of the bullets:

  • it proposes to cover 31 million Americans who don’t have health insurance;
  • it creates a new federal facility to help states crack down on insurance industry abuses and unfair rate increases;
  • it includes significantly ramped up efforts to crack down on waste and fraud within the Medicare/Medicaid systems — this is a nod to Republicans (Peter Roskam and Mark Kirk are behind proposals to do just this);
  • it adds a Medicare tax of 2.9% on unearned income — hitting the wealthy; it immediately closes the Medicare Part D donut hole gap — something seniors should notice before the November 2010 elections if this gets through Congress;
  • it increases tax credits to families to help them buy insurance; it spends $11 billion on community health care centers
  • it increases fees for brand name (as opposed to generic) drugs, depriving the pharmaceutical industry of an extra source of profits

See also E.J. Dionne, “The Elephant at the Health Care Summit

How Stupid Do You Have to Be to Work for Cato?

Yesterday I linked to a Paul Krugman column titled “California Death Spiral,” in which Krugman explains succinctly how insurance markets collapse. In short, “If too many healthy people decide that they’d rather take their chances and remain uninsured, the risk pool deteriorates, forcing insurers to raise premiums. This, in turn, leads more healthy people to drop coverage, worsening the risk pool even further, and so on.” If you’ve been paying attention to the health insurance issue, this is fairly self-evident.

Now Michael F. Cannon, the Cato Institute’s director of health policy studies, responds by saying that Krugman doesn’t understand insurance markets.

Cannon’s argument — First, he says that Krugman is unfamiliar with the work of University of Pennsylvania economist Mark Pauly. According to Cannon, Pauly has shown that “health insurance markets are way ahead of politicians — and way ahead of economists — in solving the problems that bedevil health insurance markets.” As proof of Pauly’s genius, Cannon links to an abstract of an article Pauly wrote in 1995 about “Guaranteed Renewability in Insurance” and to a description of a book on risk pooling that Pauly co-authored and which was published by the American Enterprise Institute.

Yes, I’m … so not persuaded. But this is a common trick of rightie think-tank fellows. If they don’t have an actual argument, they pull the name of some Authority Figure out of their butts and claim he has an argument. We don’t know what that argument is, but we’re assured it exists.

From here, Cannon goes on to say a colossally stupid thing:

Healthy people dropping coverage would not lead to across-the-board premium increases in California, because California allows markets to set premiums. Only when the government imposes the kind of price controls that Krugman wants does an “adverse selection death spiral” follow.

This entire debate came about because Anthem Blue Cross and other insurers in California are imposing huge premium increases on their customers, and they are doing this in spite of the fact these companies are making substantial profits. As Cannon says, state regulators in California have very limited power to control rates, so insurers can pretty much charge whatever they feel like charging.

There’s your “free markets,” Mr. Cannon.

Note that Krugman did not argue that the premium increases are being caused by a “death spiral,” but that Anthem Blue Cross claims that’s why it’s raising its rates. So either there is such a death spiral in spite of the lack of regulation in California’s insurance markets, or Anthem is price gouging. Take your pick. Either way, the free market ain’t doing squat for the consumer.

You might remember that Cato is the same pool of geniuses who endorsed the idea of insurance insurance as the solution to the health insurance crisis. If you missed it, the plan is to give insurance companies a completely free hand to risk-rate premiums, so that as people get older and/or sicker their premiums would go up. And to keep you from being priced out of health insurance if you get sick, you’re supposed to take out a separate policy of “health status insurance” that will insure you against catastrophic increases in your health insurance. (No, I’m not making this up. Read Cato’s insurance insurance manifesto here.)

This brings me to the question asked in the title of this post — how stupid do you have to be to work for Cato? Because, based on his own arguments, I conclude that Michael F. Cannon is either (a) a complete idiot, or (b) paid to churn out verbiage that has the approximate look and feel of reasoned arguments to defend positions that are really matters of religious faith (i.e., “free markets” fix everything).

I’m leaning toward (b), because Cannon’s invocation of the economist Mark Pauly is a classic example of the “appeal to authority” logical fallacy. We have no way to know how Pauly concludes (assuming that he does) that health insurance markets are already at work solving the problems of the health insurance markets, and apparently have been doing so since 1995. And to pull this trick to discredit a Nobel Prize-winning economist takes cojones.

It’s also a signal to anyone with a brain that Cannon doesn’t have a real argument. But I’m sure he’s very persuasive to people who want to remain loyal to the Magical Free Market doctrine. This is Cannon’s real role — not to provide a real argument, because there isn’t one, but to provide something that looks and feels like an argument to give the True Believers something to hang on to.

The Health Care Summit

In a move that may be shrewd, or may reveal that he is still struggling with the learning curve, President Obama has called for a health care “summit.” Lawmakers of both parties are supposed to get together on February 25 to discuss health care reform in a publicly televised forum. Leading Republicans are saying they won’t attend unless the Dems agree to scrap the work they’ve done already and start over. The White House response seems to say that won’t happen, but it’s not clear.

Steve Benen: “Republicans would be more willing to talk about health care reform if the president agrees in advance to give Republicans the opportunity to kill health care reform.” Yeah, pretty much.

Benen continues,

In the larger context, it’s a reminder that the summit invitation puts Republicans in an awkward spot. If they participate, they’ll very likely lose the policy debate. If they reject the invitation, they’ll look petty and small (even more so than usual), giving Dems ammunition to further characterize the GOP as knee-jerk partisans, unwilling to even have an open and bipartisan conversation.

That’s probably the real purpose of the summit — flush the Party of No out into the open. It could backfire, however.

An editorial at The Economist does a great job of summarizing Republican “ideas” about health care reform. After explaining why Republican ideas are ridiculous, the editorial continues —

But the fact that Republicans’ ideas do not realistically address America’s health-insurance crisis doesn’t mean they would not be able to present them effectively in a big public forum. Mr Ryan, for example, can give an extremely convincing pitch, focusing on market competition and bending down the curve on health-care inflation. Other Republicans could pretend that we can solve our health-insurance problems by limiting malpractice awards. Democrats can explain that Mr Ryan’s plan would hugely increase the number of uninsured and that malpractice reform is insignificant, but in an open, free-form debate, the arguments would swirl indefinitely in a “he-said/she-said” zone of confusion. Democrats may ignore non-feasible Republican ideas, while Republicans continue to claim that their solutions were never tried. This will only exacerbate the mess.

In other words, just the same nonsense we’ve been having, only televised.

Is Health Care Reform Dead?

The short answer is, I don’t know, but probably. There are a couple of possible scenarios under which some kind of hcr legislation might still be passed, although it seems one is being ruled out already — to hustle and get a vote on a bill before Brown is sworn in. That’s not going to happen.

The other possibility is that the House would pass a bill identical to the Senate version, which I understand would allow the Senate to go through the procedural nonsense that requires 60 votes. They could then pass the bill with 51 votes. This is probably our only real hope, but the more progressive members of the House say they won’t vote for that bill.

Then there’s the reconciliation option, but I understand that only bits and pieces of the hcr bill could be passed that way, not the whole bill.

We’re already hearing from DINOs like Evan Bayh that the reason Coakley lost is that the Dems moved too far to the left, and they’d better hustle their butts back to the right. That’s going to be conventional wisdom, folks. Count on it.

Peter Daou has a more measured analysis of why the Dems are coming apart at Huffington Post. The whole piece is interesting, but this is worthy of special note:

The single biggest reason Obama’s hope bubble burst is because of the unintended convergence of left and right opinion-making. The cauldron of opinion that churns incessantly on blogs, Twitter, social networks, and in the elite media generates the storylines that filter across the national and local press, providing the fodder for public opinion. Stalwarts of the left, dedicated to principles not personalities, hammered the administration; couple that with the partisan criticisms from conservatives and libertarians, and the net effect was to alter conventional wisdom and undercut Obama’s image and message.

I would say this message isn’t just for President Obama, but all Democrats in Washington. The Democratic Party needs to realize that the foot-dragging of people like Max Baucus (who held hcr up in his finance committee for many long weeks, thereby delaying its passage), Ben Nelson, and Evan Bayh is devastaging to the long-term prospects of the Democratic Party. These guys may be doing what they need to do to win re-election in very conservative states, but in doing so they are killing the Dems’ chance to re-brand itself as a party that can actually do something useful.

The Dems had a small window of opportunity to prove that it really does matter which party one votes for, and that most folks are better off with them, and they blew it.

Entitled to Health Care

A couple of days ago David Herszenhorn of the New York Times asked two people — Joseph R. Antos of the American Enterprise Institute and Jacob S. Hacker of Yale University who (I think) first suggested the public option — the simple question, why does health care cost so much? Although their answers differed, as Herszenhorn said they both boil down to “normal market forces mostly break down in the American health care system.”

There is a mega-question about whether “market forces” could ever create a sane health care system. There is no place on the planet where 21st century health care is being delivered by a “market driven” system, so any answer we come up with is entirely theoretical, but I say no. However, I’m going to put that question aside for now.

Something else struck me about the two answers that Herszenhorn didn’t discuss. It seems to me that Antos’s response was bristling with attitude about “entitlement” — a word he used twice — whereas Hacker was more dispassionate. Although I agree with some of what Antos said, the implication that patients are somehow being greedy or “demanding” by seeking the best health care they can get is, to me, disturbing.

And then conservatives are always the first ones who start screaming about “rationing” when anyone discusses the best allocation of our finite health care resources. Go figure.

Then Herszenhorn says,

One reason, as mentioned previously, is that people like to live and be healthy. There seems to be no upward limit on the amount of money that most people would spend toward that goal (as evident in the number of medical-related bankruptcies in America). And that, of course, puts the purveyors of health care at a distinct advantage over the consumers of health care.

I’m sorry I don’t remember where I read this — will the author please stand up? — but somewhere I read that health is different from other things we insure because there is no limit to the monetary value of life. If you insure your car, the most the insurer will ever have to pay is the replacement value of your car (overlooking the medical liability aspect of car insurance, which really is a health care problem). Same thing with your house, or other possessions.

But what is the “replacement value” of a life? People facing death generally will pay any price to keep living a little longer. Same thing with chronic pain or physical impairment. And, in a culture that is supposed to value individuality, there shouldn’t be anything wrong with that. Of course people want all the expensive, cutting-edge gizmos anyone ever invented to extend their lives and the lives of people they love.

The idea that one should live or die based on whether you’ve got the money to pay for health care should have no place in an egalitarian society. If thinking that way is “socialism,” then call me a socialist.

But this also, seems to me, points to the ultimate reality that the private insurance model is an inadequate, and even irrational, way to provide for a nation’s health care.

It also points to the ultimate reality that of course “market forces” will break down when you’re talking about something that is beyond ordinary monetary value. Because there is no limit to the value of a life or the quality of a life, “market forces” always will break down trying to provide for life and health. How could market forces not break down, unless everyone agrees on the monetary value of what is being marketed?

Defending Antidepressants

I probably find this more interesting than most of you, but I wanted to call attention to this article in the New York Times by Judith Warner on antidepressants. This week a study on Paxil and imipramine said the antidepressants worked no better than a placebo on people with mild or moderate depression. Lots of studies have said this. However,

Antidepressants do work for very severely depressed people, as well as for those whose mild depression is chronic. However, the researchers found, the pills don’t work for people who aren’t really depressed — people with short-term, minor depression whose problems tend to get better on their own.

There is a regular cult of people trying to get antidepressants banned because they believe them to be dangerous and fake and just a scam for the pharmaceutical industry to make money. And one of the arguments I hear is about all the studies that allegedly have shown they don’t work any better than placebos.

Warner goes on to document that, in America, people with clinical depression are more likely to be undertreated than overtreated.

This is the big picture of mental health care in America: not perfectly healthy people popping pills for no reason, but people with real illnesses lacking access to care; facing barriers like ignorance, stigma and high prices; or finding care that is ineffective.

More on the Mandate

James Oliphant writes in the Chicago Tribune that the mandate is being opposed by many progressives as well as most conservatives. The article does a good job of presenting both sides of this argument. Here’s part of the pro-mandate argument:

The justification for the mandate seems simple: It reflects the basic concept underlying all insurance. A large number of people pay relatively modest premiums, creating a pool of money big enough to take care of those who need help. Having people of all ages participate is especially important with health care, analysts note, because the medical problems that result in big claims are found disproportionately in middle-aged and older Americans.

If younger, healthier people go without insurance, premiums for the others would be driven higher.

The objection is that, especially without the public option, people are going to be forced to purchase increasingly unaffordable insurance and thereby enrich the insurance industry.

To which the pro-mandate side might respond that insurance is becoming increasingly unaffordable as it is, and those who go without insurance not only put themselves at terrible health and financial risk, they are also driving up the cost for everyone else, because health care bills that are paid get jacked up to pay for people who can’t pay.

As it is, there is some incentive for young and healthy people to get insured, because once they have a pre-existing condition they may not be able to purchase insurance. However, under the current bill, beginning in 2014 insurance companies will no longer be allowed to refuse to take a customer because of his pre-existing conditions. This would make it a lot easier to just put off getting health insurance until one begins to need health care beyond an annual flu shot.

But that would be a disaster for the people who are paying for insurance, because if younger, healthier people are not paying into the risk pool, there are more claims against fewer dollars. And the cost of insurance goes up.

There is a real concern that people are going to be required to buy policies they cannot afford. However,

Under the Senate bill, all a person would have to do is pay $750 per year or 2 percent of household income, whichever is greater, in order to avoid the mandate. The House penalty is slightly higher. (This difference will be worked out in negotiations this month.) …

… Linda Blumberg of the Urban Institute says much of the public’s resistance stems from still-sketchy details about how the new insurance exchanges that would likely be established for those without job-related coverage would operate. People who earn just over 100 percent above the federal poverty line would become eligible for Medicaid — and those up to 400 percent would qualify for federal subsidies.

I would like to see Medicaid expanded even more, and I would like to see more subsidies, and that may be something we should work on. But killing the mandate is un-progressive, IMO. And yes, with single payer this wouldn’t be an issue. And if I had the money I’d move to a penthouse on Park Avenue.

See also Nate Silver.

The $1,654 Staple

To get an idea why health care costs are insane, check out this article from the Sarasota, Florida, Herald Tribune. A boy banged his head on a bookcase during a pillow fight. The scalp laceration wouldn’t stop bleeding, so his mother took him to a hospital emergency room. A doctor took a quick look at the boy’s scalp and closed the superficial wound with one small staple.

“The doctor came in for all of five seconds, said he needed a staple, and then told us to go to a pediatrician to take it out,” Tobio said. “We saw the doctor for three minutes total.”

The bill: $1,654.

The boy’s mother wanted to know how one staple cost $1,654, so a reporter, Anna Scott, contacted the hospital to find out. It turns out the staple itself, the staple gun used to apply it, a bandage, and a topical anesthetic cost $274. The gun holds 35 staples, but it can be used only once even if only one staple is used. Then it is thrown away to avoid spreading infection. Whatever happened to sutures?

Note this part:

The staple is helping pay for about $60 million the hospital loses every year from people who are uninsured or cannot pay for treatment, said the hospital’s chief financial officer, David Sullivan.

When the hospital staff says the staple costs $274, they are accounting for the fact that they only receive, on average, 30 cents for every dollar they charge. That includes deals brokered with private insurance companies, too, deals current health care bills do not propose regulating directly.

I keep harping on this, but it’s obvious to me that — within the confines of the current health care reform bills — getting costs hauled back into Reality Land requires getting as many people insured as possible. I fully appreciate that paying for insurance can be a real hardship. I’ve been there. But what’s happening is that people who aren’t insured are running up bills that are being paid by people who are insured, which is one reason why insurance costs so much. Getting more people insured — especially more younger and healthier people — should help. That’s why I support mandates.

The doctor’s charge to do the stapling was $951: $480 for the visit and $471 to repair what the bill calls “a superficial wound.” … Because hospital doctors are usually private contractors, the hospital does not control what they charge.

Now, I suspect the doctor has to jack up his charge for the same reason the hospital does — he doesn’t always get paid for what he does. But I’ve read in several articles that hospitals that pay physicians a fixed salary do a lot better job of keeping cost down, at no loss of quality. However, I suspect that’s the sort of thing we probably can’t do much about until we get closer to a single payer system.

After a few seconds of medical care, the boy’s mother spent about an hour filling out forms. A recent PriceWaterhouse study found that $210 billion is wasted each year on medical paperwork, mostly having to do with insurance. I believe there’s a provision for uniform insurance forms in the House and Senate bills.

In the case at hand, apparently when the boy smacked his head his pediatrician’s office was closed, so the mother took him to an emergency room. That’s what uninsured people do, of course, which is the most gawd-awful cost-inefficient way to provide health care possible, because emergency rooms have horrifically high overhead. A system of neighborhood walk-in clinics for non-critical medical problems would provide care at a lot lower cost.

For his vote on the Senate bill, Sen. Bernie Sanders got an increase of $10 billion in funding for nonprofit community clinics to provide basic health care and pharmacy services, billing on a sliding scale. For this, lots of progressives blew up in outrage and threatened to campaign against him in the future.

And that’s the story of the $1,654 staple.