The Mahablog

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The Mahablog

Fire and the Right and We’re All Doomed

[Update: SCOTUS didn’t stop the sentencing. Trump will be sentenced tomorrow for the convictions in the “hush money” case.]

[Another update: MSNBC is reporting that the 11th Circuit court says the Jack Smith report can be released, but after a three-day delay to allow for appeals. It’s not clear to me if this ruling applies equally to the J6 and documents reports.]

This is one of those days I wonder if our species will last another century. Predictably, the Right is turning the California fires into partisan talking points based on lies.

Philip Bump at WaPo writes that falsehoods around the L.A. fires are proliferating on the right. The subhead is, “Anything to keep the realities of climate change from spreading.” Please do read this; no paywall. Led by Donald Trump, it’s already a hardwired narrative on the Right that flames are consuming neighborhoods because of Democrats and DEI hires. If only White Republican men were running California, I take it, none of this would have happened.

Here’s just a sample:

We should begin by noting that most of the criticisms — about the hydrants or water diversion or the LAFD itself — have nothing to do with why the fires erupted and spread so quickly. Instead, hurricane-force Santa Ana winds quickly spread small fires across areas that were unusually dry. Wildfires have long been a challenge in California; what’s unfolding in Los Angeles is an overlap of factors that increase the risks of wildfires spreading.

So when actor James Woods, a prominent voice on right-wing social media, declares that the fires are because of “liberal idiots like Gavin Newsom and Karen Bass,” saying one of them “doesn’t understand the first thing about fire management and the other can’t fill the water reservoirs,” he is incorrect. For example — and in contrast to Trump’s claim about diverting water from Northern California that was aimed at agriculture, not firefighting — reservoirs in Southern California are at or above historic levels. That’s good news for firefighting aircraft that need the water to douse flames, except that those high winds prevented them from flying for several hours.

And, of course, all the screeching about DEI is based on the assumption “that non-White hires are necessarily less competent,” and this is accepted on the Right as gospel.

I took a look at one Right-wing site. At Hot Air, a person named Duane Patterson writes under a painfully ironic headline, “Lessons, Painful At Times, Are Only Lessons If They’re Eventually Learned.” And, of course, there is no clear “lesson” presented in the article, just the usual grievances. This disaster is entirely the fault of “Democratic leadership,” who somehow should have been able to slow down the wind and make the rain fall. More water should have been available, Patterson writes, except as Philip Bump told us, a lack of water in reservoirs wasn’t the problem. And it’s also the fault of homeless people — arson is suggested — and DEI hires. The usual blah blah blah.

What isn’t the problem is climate change. Climate change is mentioned twice, in both cases to dismiss it as just a stupid excuse. Here’s one mention:

Insurance companies pulled out of the L.A. basin years ago because state regulators would not allow them to adjust their rates to cover the increased exposure risk that was growing along with all the undergrowth and brush in the hills that the state refused to cut back. Insurance companies knew trouble was coming. Everyone honestly knew this day would eventually come, but Gavin Newsom would love for you to believe it’s climate change’s fault and just one of those things that’s unavoidable. 

Climate change is not “unavoidable” if we can accept that it’s happening and take steps to slow it down, but let’s go on … The part about insurance is mostly true; the state would not let insurance companies raise their rates to cover their increased exposure to wildfire risk.

But how many homeowners would have found the rates too high? And remember that the Republican-run state of Florida has a similar problem; insurance companies are packing up and leaving because the increased risk of hurricanes makes insuring Florida homes too risky. All those White Republican manly men who run Florida don’t seem to have an answer for that, either. California at least offers a home insurance plan of last resort for people who can’t get other coverage, which I’m pretty sure is more than Florida has done. Do correct me if I’m wrong.

As far as forest management is concerned, I’m going to assume California could do better than it has. But I found this article about a 2023 UCLA study that says, in brief, it’s complicated.

While some political leaders have argued that governmental overprotection of forests has been the primary cause of worsening fires, the reality is more nuanced. Increased logging and clearing trees may help in some locations. But in other places, evidence suggests it can lead to worse fires. For instance, opening the tree canopy allows sunlight to dry vegetation, MacDonald said, increasing the amount of dry plant matter that feeds wildfires.

And you’re going to need a huge number of people to do all the brush clearing and leaf raking the Right suggests. Who you gonna hire (if not migrants)?

The paper also calls for more regulation (watch the Righties get the vapors) regarding where and how housing developments can be built. But in the end, hotter weather, a dryer climate, and stronger winds will still be with us.

Oh, and here’s the other mention of climate change in the Hot Air article:

If there is one thing Newsom is competent at, it’s playing the blame game. There’s truly no one finer. It’s always someone else’s fault, or it’s climate change’s fault – any number of outlets for passing the buck when disaster strikes.

Like I said, climate change is just dismissed as a stupid excuse. No lessons learned here.

This goes back at least to Ronald Reagan’s taking Jimmy Carter’s solar panels off the White House roof. The implication was that alternative energy is for wimps. Manly men and their supportive women must drill baby drill. Loyalty to fossil fuels is now deeply embedded in hard-Right tribal identity, to the point that no right-thinking Rightie would ever even momentarily entertain the notion that climate change is happening and fossil fuels might be a problem. Their minds are closed and locked up tight. They have been well trained to react to any mention of climate change with derision and denial, and I don’t see that changing.

So, no lessons will be learned, as long as Donald Trump and his cult have anything to say about it.

See also Philip Bump’s column from yesterday, No windmills, more rakes: Trump’s archaic climate politics return. Trump, who no doubt has never so much as raked a leaf or mowed a lawn in his life, is certain that we just need more leaf-raking a brush clearing. For that matter, I wonder if Trump has ever walked in a real, natural forest? He’s a New York City boy, you know.

Bump begins,

The mechanism for climate change is by now well established. Gases like carbon dioxide and methane sit in Earth’s atmosphere and absorb heat rising from the planet instead of allowing the heat to escape into space. Some of that absorbed heat is, instead, redirected back down to the Earth’s surface. Because we’ve dumped so much of those gases into the atmosphere — largely by burning oil, coal and gas — more heat is retained.

The planet gets hotter. The oceans get hotter and expand. The air gets hotter and holds more moisture. The land gets hotter and dries out. We get rising sea levels and bigger storms and worse droughts. 2024 will almost certainly be Earth’s hottest year on record, seizing the title from the previous hottest year … 2023.

But no, that can’t be true, says the Right. We just need to put manly Republican White men in charge, and rake more leaves, or something.

3 thoughts on “Fire and the Right and We’re All Doomed

  1. "…the state refused to cut back. "

    About the government "not" doing anything about the growth, ever since I was a kid, "government", mostly fire departments, would send people to inspect the area of suburbs as well as urban areas and point out to the owners whether to trim or not.  If the owner(s) did not comply, the local government would do so, sending the bill to the owners.  Rural areas may be handled slightly differently.

    That comment is an out-and-out lie.

  2. In the war on TRUTH. reality won two battles today. Trump will be sentenced for felonies in NY tomorrow. IMO, the verdicts will stand after appeals are complete. For history, the fact will stand. I wish Trump would serve prison time BUT the decision to make the sentencing symbolic rather than punitive was sound. Read the USSC 5-4 decision: "the burden that sentencing will impose on the President-Elect’s responsibilities is relatively insubstantial in light of the trial court’s stated intent to impose a sentence of “unconditional discharge” after a brief virtual hearing."

    I read the flip side of that to say that if the sentence had been an imposition on Trump, they might have granted Trump's motion. Trump is not fighting this to the High Court because he's afraid of doing hard time or because he can't afford the possible fine. Trump's most difficult mission is to rewrite history regarding his loss in 2020, the insurrection, and all the associated crimes.

    On the second battle that reality won, the report on J6 will be released, in a decision by the 11th Circuit, though Trump may appeal to the USSC. If he does, I suspect we will see the same 5-4 split.  Roberts and Barrett seem to still remember some principles of the law. (The other four are down the rabbit hole.) The other thing is that the USSC should resent Trump's expectation that they would function as an extension of the Oval Office. Roberts put his thumb (actually leaned with his elbow) on the scales of justice to prevent Trump from standing trial for J6. Roberts did not want a Democrat in the White House. That doesn't mean Roberts is in love with Trump on a personal basis. Roberts will support a lot of what Trump has promised to do but IMO, Roberts feels no obligation to change reality to protect Trump's ego or his legacy. But time may prove me wrong.

    On the wildfires: it's an epic tragedy but the loss of life is (so far) limited. Trump will throw California under the bus, which is a strategic mistake. There's plenty of money in SoCal that can be mobilized to support the ACLU and other legal organizations that can impede Trump and thedeprtments Trump will try to corrupt. 

    Going back to the reality theme… if Trump is as incompetent as I believe, he will implement tariffs with disastrous results. MAGA might ignore inflation but the rest of us will notice. What Trump is trying to do with deportations, Trump will try to conceal and he may succeed. But the effects on agriculture and construction will be devastating. If Trump tries to lean on Iceland against their clear desires, NATO, including Canada, may impose sanctions on the US. If Trump leans on Panma and starts making military strikes on Mexico, that trading partner (Mexico) may retaliate. China may be happy to open up trade with Mexico if they decide not to sell to the US. The entire world leadership (I'm speaking of democracies) have had four years to consider how they can manage a bully together and they will singly be victims. I'm not saying I know they ARE there, but they ought to be. What Trump is going to do may be very bad for Wall Street and they ALWAYS follow the money. We haven't entered the top of the first inning. The game is not over.

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