This Election Can’t Be Over Soon Enough

Public notice: Along with swearing off articles about the polls, I am also swearing off articles about undecided voters. As they say, The Stupid– it burns.

Moving on.

Today Judge Tanya Chutkan is expected to unseal the appendix to Jack Smith’s motion about why John Roberts’s immunity proclamation wouldn’t prevent Trump’s J6 trial from going forward.  The appendix contains the evidence that Smith says is admissible to support the charges against Trump.

Yesterday Trump’s lawyers filed a request that the appendix remain sealed until after the election. Releasing the evidence before the election would be election interference, the lawyers said. Judge Chutkan responded, “If the court withheld information that the public otherwise had a right to access solely because of the potential political consequences of releasing it, that withholding could itself constitute—or appear to be—election interference.” Read Joyce Vance for more details.

There has been much muttering about Trump’s several last-minute cancellations of interviews, some of them with big-time venues like 60 Minutes. And according to Trump, he was “hoodwinked” into the interview with John Micklethwait of Bloomberg News at the Economic Club of Chicago. Trump was expecting to give a speech, not submit to an interview.

After Trump brushed off an interview with a podcast, The Shade Room — Kamala Harris did that one earllier this week, I believe — producers of The Shade Room said they were told Trump was too exhausted to schedule the interview this week, but that might change. When The Shade Room made Trump’s exhaustion public, the Trump campaign denied they said such a thing. But I’m betting that’s exactly what they said. Better “exhaustion” than “sundowning.” Still, if he can’t keep up the pace of a campaign, how is he going to keep up the pace of being POTUS?

And I hope that we don’t have to find out that I’m right about this, but … I’m betting J.D. Vance is already planning to “25th Amendment” Trump some time next year if Trump and Vance win. Vance is, obviously, a snake. See also Trump’s Age Finally Catches Up With Him by Philip Bump at WaPo.

See also Dana Milbank, Donald Trump’s hysterical closing argument: Save the cows!. Because according to Trump, Kamala Harris plans to eliminate cows. She’s also going to tear down all the buildings and replace them with buildings with no windows. And note that he made exactly the same prediction in 2020.

Let us remember that Trump is still refusing to release his medical records.

Yesterday I saw a headline saying the betting markets now are predicting a Trump win. Oh, wait

Over the past two weeks, the chances of a Trump victory in the November election have surged on Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market. Its bettors were giving Trump a 62% chance of winning on Thursday, while Harris’s chances were 38%. The candidates were in a dead heat at the start of October. 

Trump’s gains on Polymarket have cheered his supporters, and they have been followed by the odds shifting in Trump’s favor in other betting markets. Elon Musk flagged Trump’s growing lead on Polymarket to his 200 million X followers on Oct. 6, praising the concept of betting markets. “More accurate than polls, as actual money is on the line,” Musk posted.

But the surge might be a mirage manufactured by a group of four Polymarket accounts that have collectively pumped about $30 million of crypto into bets that Trump will win. 

“There’s strong reason to believe they are the same entity,” said Miguel Morel, chief executive of Arkham Intelligence, a blockchain analysis firm that examined the accounts.

This election can’t be over fast enough.


One thought on “This Election Can’t Be Over Soon Enough

  1. The flaw in the 25th Amendment scenario is that if the Cabinet sends the declaration to the President Pro Tem and the Speaker, all the President has to do is send a letter declaring "Nah, I good" and they are restored to authority. After that, it's the old two-thirds of both Houses.

    I don't see why anyone would want to do it anyway. As long as Grandpa can watch Fox and porn, he'll sign anything put in front of him.  

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