Public notice: Along with swearing off articles about the polls, I am also swearing off articles about undecided voters. As they say, The Stupid– it burns.
Moving on.
Today Judge Tanya Chutkan is expected to unseal the appendix to Jack Smith’s motion about why John Roberts’s immunity proclamation wouldn’t prevent Trump’s J6 trial from going forward. The appendix contains the evidence that Smith says is admissible to support the charges against Trump.
Yesterday Trump’s lawyers filed a request that the appendix remain sealed until after the election. Releasing the evidence before the election would be election interference, the lawyers said. Judge Chutkan responded, “If the court withheld information that the public otherwise had a right to access solely because of the potential political consequences of releasing it, that withholding could itself constitute—or appear to be—election interference.” Read Joyce Vance for more details.
There has been much muttering about Trump’s several last-minute cancellations of interviews, some of them with big-time venues like 60 Minutes. And according to Trump, he was “hoodwinked” into the interview with John Micklethwait of Bloomberg News at the Economic Club of Chicago. Trump was expecting to give a speech, not submit to an interview.
After Trump brushed off an interview with a podcast, The Shade Room — Kamala Harris did that one earllier this week, I believe — producers of The Shade Room said they were told Trump was too exhausted to schedule the interview this week, but that might change. When The Shade Room made Trump’s exhaustion public, the Trump campaign denied they said such a thing. But I’m betting that’s exactly what they said. Better “exhaustion” than “sundowning.” Still, if he can’t keep up the pace of a campaign, how is he going to keep up the pace of being POTUS?
And I hope that we don’t have to find out that I’m right about this, but … I’m betting J.D. Vance is already planning to “25th Amendment” Trump some time next year if Trump and Vance win. Vance is, obviously, a snake. See also Trump’s Age Finally Catches Up With Him by Philip Bump at WaPo.
See also Dana Milbank, Donald Trump’s hysterical closing argument: Save the cows!. Because according to Trump, Kamala Harris plans to eliminate cows. She’s also going to tear down all the buildings and replace them with buildings with no windows. And note that he made exactly the same prediction in 2020.
Let us remember that Trump is still refusing to release his medical records.
Yesterday I saw a headline saying the betting markets now are predicting a Trump win. Oh, wait …
Over the past two weeks, the chances of a Trump victory in the November election have surged on Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market. Its bettors were giving Trump a 62% chance of winning on Thursday, while Harris’s chances were 38%. The candidates were in a dead heat at the start of October.
Trump’s gains on Polymarket have cheered his supporters, and they have been followed by the odds shifting in Trump’s favor in other betting markets. Elon Musk flagged Trump’s growing lead on Polymarket to his 200 million X followers on Oct. 6, praising the concept of betting markets. “More accurate than polls, as actual money is on the line,” Musk posted.
But the surge might be a mirage manufactured by a group of four Polymarket accounts that have collectively pumped about $30 million of crypto into bets that Trump will win.
“There’s strong reason to believe they are the same entity,” said Miguel Morel, chief executive of Arkham Intelligence, a blockchain analysis firm that examined the accounts.
This election can’t be over fast enough.
The flaw in the 25th Amendment scenario is that if the Cabinet sends the declaration to the President Pro Tem and the Speaker, all the President has to do is send a letter declaring "Nah, I good" and they are restored to authority. After that, it's the old two-thirds of both Houses.
I don't see why anyone would want to do it anyway. As long as Grandpa can watch Fox and porn, he'll sign anything put in front of him.
That might not be good enough for J.D.
I think our friend Gulag has passed on, sometime in August. This sounds like him.
Kamala did great at the Fox interview. Regardless of what she said, she came off as a fighter and unafraid of anyone. That counts for a lot in wingnut world. I believe even Bret Baier conceded that she got a few viral moments from the exchange.
Don't pay any attention to the polls. A lot of them are in noise territory, and they have been wrong before. Trump's in serious decline, and the psychics are saying even his own people are trying to figure out what to do. Push him over the line is what they're attempting.
He's got a couple more weeks to shed more voters, and move more undecideds into Kamala territory. I am liking the new ads I'm seeing from Kamala, they seem to go for inclusion, to bring everyone – including undecideds – into the family. A lot is going to happen in these last couple of weeks.
Of course, JD Vance is just waiting to take over. But he's really a proxy for Peter Theil and Elon Musk. Musk thinks he can control Vance. How it all happens – 25th amendment or Trump is encouraged to step down, Biden-style isn't that important. All Trump cares about is that he's not going to prison.
But it's my belief it's not going to come to that. KH is going to win.
Thank you for linking to gulag's obituary. I've done searches from time to time to see if I could find anything about him, but I never did.
"Victor had a unique sense of humor right up until the very last hours of his life."
Yeah, that sounds like Gulag. I appreciate the leg work of finding that, Moonbat.
Thank you for the link Moonbat, what an interesting life story he had, must have been great to know him personally!
IMO, Harris is doing everything right, smart, savvy, powerful, courageous. She took Fox head-on, AND got more than twice higher ratings on Fox than tRump, same day – OUCH!!! She is very good at this.
I will add my thanks to that Moonbat, I knew his name but like maha I was unable to find anything other than his address? It's weird just reading his comments here for the last decade or so I felt like I sort of knew him? Thanks again.
Regarding the polls: It was reported yesterday on "our" media that the R's have long used a tactic of publicizing biased polls late in the campaign to nudge a specific small segment of the undecideds, those people who don't follow any of it but just go in and vote for whoever they think is going to win. I assume those voters do that so that when it's all decided they can tell people they voted for the winner.
From my point of view, that R practice also happens to be just one more of those puerile and feeble habits of the biggest loser who's running for president, and what he's been doing his entire con-job life: Fake it 'til you make it.
We all need to keep our spirits up and keep telling people what an awesome president she is going to be, which she will be if we all do our work to get her there. Her vision for the future of the country is about 15 million times better than her opponent's.
Morale.
Judge Chutkan responded, “If the court withheld information that the public otherwise had a right to access solely because of the potential political consequences of releasing it, that withholding could itself constitute—or appear to be—election interference.”
Those words deserve to be carved in marble. The VOTERS have the right to know and DJT has successfully delayed full disclosure to end all prosecutions by abusing his power if he wins. The obligation of the DOJ is to the PEOPLE, not the accused. We were robbed of knowing the full truth of the J6 events for three years and eleven months. Given the importance of an informed voting body, the courts – all of them – should have clamped down on the frivolous tactics early on. That the USSC played along underscores the need for reform.
The news does bring up what Trump does not want to discuss in the campaign's waning hours. I think Kamala did well in the Fox interview – she was effective enough that Fox admitted to a "mistake" in editing. I'd love to know WHY Harris did not point out the payout for damages that Fox paid – to the tune of nearly a billion dollars when it all gets settled. Fox was only liable because they KNEW they were providing a platform for liars with no evidence of a fraudulent election.