While we all weren’t looking it appears the U.S. is now an ally of Russia against Ukraine. There wasn’t exactly a formal announcement of this, but I don’t see any other way to look at events over the last several hours.
Yesterday Trump very proudly announced that he and Vlad Putin had reached a great deal. The U.S. is suspending sanctions on Russian diesel exports until April 7 Putin agreed to release 300,000 tons of diesel immediately “to the American and global marketplace,” followed by 500,000 tons in November and another million after that.
Trump then wrote on Truth Social that another three million tons of Russian diesel would be delivered “within a short period.” But this depended on the condition of Russian refineries, which have been attacked by Ukraine. Whether the three million tons were really part of the deal or just Trump not knowing how many zeros are in three million I cannot say. But commentators I saw on the teevee said that the Russian diesel would’t make a whole lot of difference to the price of diesel in the U.S. There’s a headline at Barron’s that calls the deal “a drop in the bucket that won’t move the needle on prices.” But it would make Putin a lot of money. So it’s a stupid deal. I feel for farmers and others who are being ruined by diesel prices who may now get their hopes up there will be relief soon. There won’t.
And then there’s the little matter of the sanction Trump suspended, which was imposed by Congress. Many senators are not happy, and not all of those senators are Democrats.
Less than a month ago the Senate passed the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026, intended to toughen up sanctions on Russia. The late Miss Lindsey’s sister, Darline Graham, was given a big role in introducing and passing the bill, and so far it’s been her big moment in the Senate. Darline is currently in a neck-and-neck race with Dr. Annie Andrews for the Senate seat. One might argue Trump’s suspension of one sanction undermines Darline a tad.
But it gets better. Trump’s next move was to tell Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy :to halt strikes on Russian oil refineries and other infrastructure used to produce and distribute diesel, saying the attacks are causing a global shortage. The part about Ukraine being in a war with Russia for its existence as a nation seems to have slipped past Trump’s attention.
So now, having stabbed Ukraine in the back, Trump is saying that Ukraine had better get a new leader. That should make Zelenskyy president for life. And Trump is blaming Zelenskyy for high diesel prices. There are a lot of factors impacting diesel prices, and the Russia-Ukraine war is one of them, but I suspect Trump’s mess in Iran is at the top of the list.
I see also that Andy Burnham, the UK Prime Minister, called Zelenskyy today. The PM assured Zelenskyy that the UK would continue to strengthen its sanctions on Russia and take action to constrain the Russian war machine. I hope President Zelenskyy gets other such calls. But it’s another sign of the times of how isolated Trump is, and how isolated he has made the U.S. And I’m sure Trump has no clue.
At The Atlantic, David Frum tells us (as if we didn’t know) that Trump is an easy mark for Putin.
For the American truckers and farmers Trump claims to be serving, the deal means little or nothing. Trump may not know or may not care that his latest gambit will not reduce diesel prices. His poll numbers are plunging to Herbert Hoover levels. He needs a last-minute electioneering gimmick.
But while the deal will not benefit American consumers, it has immense consequences for others. For Vladimir Putin’s Russia, the deal is a potential lifesaver. For war-ravaged Ukraine, it is the most outrageous and heartless Trump betrayal to date. For Trump’s entourage, the deal promises corruption opportunities on a multibillion-dollar scale. And for people trying to understand the Trump presidency, the deal is further proof of the accusation that Nancy Pelosi flung in Trump’s face in 2019: “With you, all roads lead to Putin.”
I encourge you to read this article. Trump’s “entourage,” in particular Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, have been trying to work a Russia-Ukraine deal that somehow includes some special sweeteners for special Trump donors and some Middle Eastern groups that do business with Kushner and Witkoff. One suspects it’s understood that some of those sweeteners will make it into the pockets of Kushner and Witkoff eventually. Meanwhile, Ukraine is being told to suck it up and make concessions. Or just surrender; that would be great.
Another thing I learned from Frum’s article is that the U.S. actually produces more diesel than we use. Of course, the price is set by global markets. But if Trump weren’t pouring how many billions of dollars into his stupid war, maybe the government could provide relief to farmers and businesses that use kiesel with subsidies or something. That might actually help. But then if Trump hadn’t started the stupid war the price of diesel wouldn’t be quite so high.
But here’s a new development — Axios reports that House Republicans are moving to block Trump’s oil deal.
Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-Pa.) vowed Saturday to force a House vote to block Russian oil purchases, challenging President Trump’s diesel deal with President Vladimir Putin.
Why it matters: Trump has touted the deal as a way to lower fuel prices, but it could also provide revenue for Russia’s war in Ukraine.
Driving the news: Fitzpatrick, co-chair of the Congressional Ukraine Caucus, said he would introduce the “Ronald Reagan Peace Through Strength Act” and force a vote through a discharge petition.
“It will be forced to the Floor via discharge and it will pass overwhelmingly,” Fitzpatrick wrote on X.
Retiring Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.) tells Axios he has “already agreed” to sign the petition.
Well, okay, not a lot of Republicans, and considering the House is hardly ever in session any more this will probably go nowhere. But it’s still interesting.
Update: Today (Sunday) Trump announced that Putin and Zelenskyy have agreed to an “energy ceasefire,” meaning they have agreed to stop attacking energy facilities. But President Zelenskyy, when asked about it, says this was news to him. Zelenskyy says he will agree to it if Putin agrees to it. But whether Putin has agreed to anything isn’t clear. Trump made a similar announcement last month, but neither party confirmed that there was a deal. Both Russia and Ukraine continued attacking energy infrastructure.