October 6, 2008

Serious

Filed under: McCain-Palin, Obama-Biden — maha @ 9:33 am

As I keyboard the NYSE hasn’t opened yet this morning, but word is that stocks are dropping hard in Europe and Asia. Little Lulu is whiningWasn’t the bailout supposed to calm the financial markets? The magnitude of what’s happening in Economyland hasn’t sunk into her overheated little head.

The wingnuts are pushing the usual nonsense and trivia they use to derail elections. Little Green Footballs (to which I would rather not link) displays a photo of Bill Ayers standing on a flag that was taken in 2001, at a time that Barack Obama and Ayers were both serving on the board of the Woods Fund, a philanthropic organization in Chicago. This is the Right’s idea of a Serious Issue. (BTW, the photo, which was used with a feature on Ayers in the August 2001 issue of Chicago magazine, no doubt was a pose the magazine requested. That’s how these things usually work.)

For the remaining month of the campaign the names Bill Ayers, Tony Rezko and Rev. Wright will be chanted fervently on television and radio. They will slide into our email boxes and consume vast amounts of ink on newspaper op ed pages.

Oh, and taxes! liberal! boogaboogaboogabooga!!!!!

Even now top-level Republican strategists are meeting to discuss why Sarah Palin’s winks and “you betchas” are not moving the polls for McCain. It’ll be fun to see what they try next. Will they tone Palin down or ramp her up into an even more garish cartoon than she already is? Will Joe Lieberman be videoed crying real tears?

Michael Tomasky writes at The Guardian,

Pssst. Don’t spread it around too much, because there’s still a month to go and I don’t want to jinx things - but substance is in this year. …

… We are a country in decline. The decline is the result of the policies of the last eight years. Everyone outside of hardcore conservatives knows this. No candidate for president can utter the sentence “we are a country in decline”. America’s central myth about itself is that, unlike Rome or Austria-Hungary or (sorry) an earlier Britain, we are impervious to time’s vicissitudes and will always be numero uno. People now are worried that underneath that bravado, maybe we won’t be.

And so, substance matters. The public responses to the financial meltdown and the first two debates make this evident.

Howard Wolfson:

Why won’t the swiftboat tactics work this year?

Its easy to lose sight of it in the day to day coverage, but the collapse of Wall Street in the last weeks was a seminal event in the history of our nation and our politics. To put the crisis in perspective, Americans have lost a combined 1 trillion dollars in net worth in just the last four weeks alone. Just as President Bush’s failures in Iraq undermined his party’s historic advantage on national security issues, the financial calamity has shown the ruinous implications of the Republican mania for deregulation and slavish devotion to totally unfettered markets.

Republicans and Democrats have been arguing over the proper role of government for a century. In 1980 voters sided with Ronald Reagan and Republicans that government had become too big and intrusive. Then the economy worked in the Republicans’ favor. Today the pendulum has swung in our direction. Republican philosophies have been discredited by events. Voters understand this. This is a big election about big issues. McCain’s smallball will not work. This race will not be decided by lipsticked pigs. And John McCain can not escape that reality. The only unknowns are the size of the margin and the breadth of the Democratic advantage in the next Congress.

A lot can happen in a month, so it’s no time to get complacent. The election still will be closer than it ought to be because of racism. But over the next four weeks expect the Right to spin faster and further into utter irrelevance. They are starting to sound like a steward on the Titanic, shouting that if people don’t stop this nonsense about rowing out to sea in lifeboats they’ll miss out on dinner with the Captain.

See alsoRoger Cohen has a genuinely awesome column today.

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October 5, 2008

What’d I Miss?

Filed under: McCain-Palin — maha @ 4:44 pm

I’ve been at a retreat and haven’t seen the news since Friday morning. I take it the polls say a majority of veep debate viewers who were polled favored Biden. I agree with Bill Curry:

Why then did Palin take a drubbing in the polls? It may have to do with the very personality that brought her to the ball. You may recognize it: it’s Marge Gunderson, from the darkly comic Coen Brothers film “Fargo.”

For her portrayal of the small-town sheriff forever saying “golly” and “you betcha,” Frances McDormand won an Oscar. So should Palin. The resemblance is uncanny. Some reporter should find out if Palin talked that way before the movie came out.

Palin also draws on goofy neighbor characters from old situation comedies. I watched the debate on CNN, which had hooked undecided voters up like hamsters to a machine. As the night wore on it sunk in that her impersonation was really of them and more condescending than any they’d suffered at the hand of Harvard.

Not every Palin cliche is borrowed from show business. She calls herself both “Joe Six Pack” and a “Hockey Mom,” labels spawned by political consultants. The people she patronizes don’t really talk that way. With their homes and retirements threatened, they are less easily amused. That Biden cleaned up may indicate that the crisis bearing down so hard has put us all in a more serious frame of mind.

I don’t know that Palin is impersonating Marge Gunderson (one of the all-time great film characters) as much as she and Frances McDormand are/were evoking a generic woman of the Frozen North. But Marge Gunderson is less of a caricature than Sarah Palin, IMO. Palin’s “by golly” and “you betcha” stuff is just too contrived.

I see also that the McCain-Palin campaign is still trying to scare voters with the alleged Bill Ayers-Obama connection. CNN does a good job explaining that there is no “there” there.

It’s striking to me that the Right continues to flog the Ayers (non)issue, even though they’ve been at it for months and it has gotten them nowhere. I don’t think most people give a bleep about former 1960s radicals, frankly. Especially since Obama himself was born in 1961 and, obviously, was a small child when all this radical-ness was going on.

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October 3, 2008

Open Thread

Filed under: blogging — maha @ 7:24 am

Dear Troops: I’ll be offline until Sunday afternoon, but talk away among yourselves about whatever happens between now and then.

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October 2, 2008

in the tank!

Filed under: McCain-Palin, Obama-Biden — fshk @ 8:58 pm

So I get to live blog, I suppose to give my perspective as both a Young Person and as a debate expert. (I have 12-some years of experience with policy debate, as a participant, judge, and coach, most recently affiliated with the University of Massachusetts. See, once upon a time, people payed me to judge debate. I’m like Gwen Ifill. Only, you know, pastier.)

Last Friday, I watched the debate from the comfort of one of my favorite bars, and tonight, I’m at a small gathering of friends at an apartment in the Williamsburg neighborhood of Brooklyn for extra Young People Cred. We’re eating fondue and drinking lambic (a Belgian beer brewed with fruit). My friend who’s hosting (Olga) just informed all assembled that there is plenty of alcohol, so this could get entertaining.

The pundits are all basically that if Sarah Palin doesn’t fall on her face, it’ll be a success. So, let’s get to it. Get out your bingo cards.
(more…)

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Maha’s Way Cool Debate Live Blog

Filed under: McCain-Palin, Obama-Biden — maha @ 8:16 pm

Watch this space!

Oh, that’s cute. Can I call you Joe? Nice.

Palin is looking at the camera and Biden did not.

OK, we’ve got the canned remarks out of the way.

She’s pointing at predator lenders and corruption. Personal responsibility.

Joe is getting in the quote about deregulating health care.

Palin: Taxes taxes taxes booga booga booga

As mayor she left her city in crippling debt. Someone should bring that up.

Biden is repeating the middle class tax cut. There you go Joe, look at the camera.

Palin: Redistribution of wealth. I hate that term.

Government is the problem.

Crossing state lines to buy insurance; I still don’t believe that’s possible.

Biden — ultimate bridge to nowhere. Good line.

Energy plan — Palin had to take on the oil companies. She broke up a monopoly?

Ooo, the bankruptcy bill. Greed and corruption don’t have anything to do with the bankruptcy bill. But Biden wasn’t on the side of the angels with that one.

We don’t have enough fossil fuel resources to eliminate dependence on foreign oil.

Don’t care as much about the climate than we do? Foreign countries will laugh.

OK, guys, how do you think it’s going so far?

Same sex versus heterosexual couples, no discrimination, says Biden. Hospital visitations, life insurance, benefits. Property.

Ooo, she just glows when she talks about the surge.

Funding the troops.

Ooo, white flag of surrender! Here we go!

I think she’s losing it. She’s repeating her talking points and not responding to what Biden said.

Al Qaeda is defining our war.

At least she can pronounce the name of whozits of Iran.

We’re in favor of diplomacy but not with people we don’t like.

McCain has pain and won’t sit down in Spain.

I honestly don’t know how this might be going over.

Here you go, Joe! No different from George Bush’s.

Um, little girl, Kim Jung Il already has nuclear weapons.

Ooo, we’re building schools in Afghanistan. Sure.

Bosnia. Kosovo. Bosnia.

She still sees like a ditz to me, but how will an independent voter see this?

The SNL writers are taking notes.

Pointing backward.

I just flipped to CNN to see the focus group line. The gang at MyDd says the squiggly lines like Biden.

Ooh, they’re right. As soon as Joe talks the lines swing up. Women like him especially.

She’s not answering the achilles’ heel question.

Palin speaks, the squiggly lines are nearly flat. This is fun.

Joe almost choked up.

Maverick maverick maverick. Oh, and the lines just went flat. Wheee!

Joe is challenging the “maverick” thing. The squiggly lines go up.

She appoints people of all parties in Alaska, as long as they are her friends.

OK, what did you think?

Y’all go ahead and talk among yourselves.

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Amazing Double Live Blog!

Filed under: blogging — maha @ 5:37 pm

Tune in tonight for an attempted double live blog of the veep debate. The Mahablog technical assistance and design team (my daughter, Erin) will be updating one post, and I’ll be updating another. Thrills and chills! Maybe spills!

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The Least Angry Man

Filed under: Obama-Biden — maha @ 2:20 pm

I love this.

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Not in America?

Filed under: big picture stuff — maha @ 9:45 am


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Enough With the Gamblers

Filed under: McCain-Palin — maha @ 9:12 am

A Boston-area Republican strategist explains in the Boston Globe why he thinks McCain would be a better president than Obama. His arguments are, IMO, silly, and a denial of reality. I just want to look at some of his language (emphasis added):

John McCain is a gambler and knows that just because the odds are against him doesn’t mean he can’t win. Maybe an ace will fall from his sleeve. …

…McCain wasn’t successful in the bailout crisis either, but he’s proven that he can forge bipartisan alliances and persevere even when mocked by insolent bystanders. More than any other senator, he has proven that he’s not afraid to take risks for his country.

At least the strategist didn’t once use the word “maverick.” However, I don’t see any “bipartisan alliances” that McCain himself forged lately, and whatever risks he took these past few days were for his political career, not his country.

I say being unafraid is greatly overrated. Being unafraid is not the same thing as being courageous. Courage is doing something you know has to be done, even if you are terrified to do it. The absence of fear, especially when there are real dangers to be faced, usually is the mark of a fool.

Consider the words of Sarah Palin:

“I didn’t hesitate, no,” she told ABC’s Charlie Gibson in her first televised interview since accepting the Arizona senator’s invitation to be on the Republican ticket two weeks ago.

“I answered him ‘yes’ because I have the confidence in that readiness and knowing that you can’t blink, you have to be wired in a way of being so committed to the mission, the mission that we’re on, reform of this country and victory in the war, you can’t blink. So I didn’t blink then even when asked to run as his running mate,” said the 44-year-old Palin, a governor who has been in office less than two years.

Asked if she felt ready to step in as vice president or perhaps even president if something happened to the 72-year-old McCain, Palin said: “I do, Charlie, and on January 20, when John McCain and I are sworn in, if we are so privileged to be elected to serve this country, we’ll be ready. I’m ready.”

A wiser person in her position would have hesitated. A very wise person would have said no, I’m not ready for that kind of national exposure. I’ll stay in Alaska. Fools rush in where angels fear to tread.

Sometimes risks have to be taken. Leaders often have to make decisions and take actions when outcomes are uncertain, because hesitation would lead to worse outcomes. But where did we get the idea that there’s virtue in risk for its own sake?

Probably we got that idea from the same place we got the idea that there’s something weak about doubt. We’ve bought into a caricature of leadership that values absolute self-assurance — well, OK, arrogance — and recklessness over good judgment, patience, and intelligence.

We ain’t supposed to think things through, buckaroos; just come out shootin’.

Our country is in a very precarious place right now because of fearlessness. As Roger Cohen wrote, “the Bush crowd has gambled the future of this country with abandon.”

I know one thing: this is no time for further gambling. John McCain rolled the dice on Sarah Palin. I’m grateful to Bob Rice of Tangent Capital for pointing out that the actuarial risk, based on mortality tables, of Palin becoming president if the Republican ticket wins the election is about 1 in 6 or 7.

That’s the same odds as your birthday falling on a Wednesday, or being delayed on two consecutive flights into Newark airport. Is America ready for that?

The lesson of the last eight years is this: when power is a passport to gamble, people can end up seriously broke or seriously dead.

Come to think of it, my birthday fell on a Wednesday this year. Hmm.

John McCain is a gambler. It is said he has spent 14 hours straight playing craps in Las Vegas. I don’t know if McCain has a gambling addiction; perhaps he can walk away from it when he wants to. But my understanding is that people who are serious gamblers tend to be impulsive people with poor emotional coping strategies, as the psychologists put it.

A tendency to gamble is a sign of emotional weakness, in other words, not strength.

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October 1, 2008

Watch McCain’s Face

Filed under: McCain-Palin — maha @ 11:46 pm

John Aravosis has noticed something about John McCain’s face that may relate to something I’ve seen also. John has photos and video that show a facial tic followed by confusion or bumbling. I have noticed in several recent television appearances that his left eye is drooping considerably compared to the right eye. I have no idea what that might mean, but here are links that discuss it:

Something just went wrong with McCain’s face on national TV

Slow-motion video of McCain’s facial convulsion

Is there a doctor in the house?

A doctor weighs in about McCain’s facial ticks and confused behavior today

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